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Financial CrisisConfirmedSettled

KOSPI Plunges 8.95% Below 7,000 Amid Won Fluctuating Around 1,530 per Dollar

Measured from 13 Jul 2026 (event start), not the 13 Jul 2026 announcement

S&P 500
+2.3%
VIX (fear index)
-3%
Key Takeaway

Defense moved -2.0%, the largest reaction measured, though not statistically significant, meaning it may reflect normal market noise rather than the event itself.

LMT, RTX, NOC · down

01

What Happened

The Korean equity market (KOSPI) collapsed on July 13, 2026, falling 8.95 percent below the 7,000-point threshold in a single trading session, representing a severe one-day selloff. The Korean won simultaneously weakened sharply, fluctuating around 1,530 won per US dollar (depreciation relative to safer havens). The market decline is explicitly attributed to a double shock of geopolitical risk escalation (US-Iran Hormuz conflict) and what is described as supply and demand liquidation, suggesting both international risk-off selling and forced liquidations from Korean investors. Indian equity benchmarks (Sensex, Nifty 50) similarly opened sharply lower on the same date, with Sensex down 0.82 percent and Nifty 50 down 0.78 percent, suggesting coordinated regional selloff. Asian markets broadly experienced significant declines reflecting escalating Middle East tensions.

Full Analysis
Why It Matters

8.95 percent one-day decline signals panic liquidation rather than orderly repricing; magnitude comparable to acute financial crisis events; represents broader Asian market dysfunction driven by geopolitical shock

Timing

Market crash occurred on July 13, 2026 trading session; represents one-day snapshot of broader Asian market selloff on the same date

About This Date

KOSPI closing data reported for July 13, 2026 (Sunday, Korea time equivalent to market close). The 8.95 percent plunge is confirmed and represents one-day closing performance. Won volatility around 1,530/USD is reported as current intra-day trading.

Read how dates work →
04

How To Read This

Each sector below is a basket of named stocks. The percentage shown is the move beyond the overall market (S&P 500) , what event studies call the . A move only counts as when it sits clearly outside that basket's normal weekly swings.

05 · Move beyond the overall market

How Much Sectors Moved

Path over time. Click a sector in the legend to toggle it. Dashed lines mark key moments.

Gold
-1.3%
GLD
Treasuries
-0.0%
TLT
Defense
-2.0%
LMT, RTX, NOC
Broad market
+0.1%
SPY

Defense moved most at -2.0% against the market, the direction you would expect from a financial crisis. None of the moves cleared the significance threshold. Read the direction as flavour, not signal.

06 · how erratic prices became

Volatility

Volatility measures how erratic prices became, a separate signal from the direction of the move.

How Nervous The Market Got
VIX, the volatility index
-3%

Market fear eased

Before
17.2
Peak
20.7
After
16.7
How Much Choppier Each Sector Got
Realised volatility, before vs after
  • Gold
    25%24%
    volatility roughly unchanged
  • Treasuries
    10%10%
    1.1x calmer after
  • Defense
    33%16%
    2.0x calmer after
  • Broad market
    15%12%
    1.2x calmer after

The VIX fell 3.0 percent across the window, essentially flat. Read this as the market's demand for protection, not the direction of any single sector.

A ratio above 1.00 means the sector's daily-price swings widened after the event. Gold became the most erratic at 0.96×, and 0 of 4 sectors traded meaningfully wider than they did before. Volatility is a separate signal from direction: a sector can end flat and still have traded wildly along the way.

07 · peak move and reversion

Phases

SectorPeak MovePeak DayReverted By
Gold+5.6%Day 17Still elevated
Treasuries-4.8%Day 19Still elevated
Defense-5.4%Day 3Day 6
Broad market+0.3%Day 18Still elevated

The reaction peaked around day 14 on average. 1 of 4 sectors reverted inside the window, 3 were still elevated at the close. A reaction that reverts is a shock priced in; one that stays is a re-rating.

09 · click to expand

Historical Precedents

10a · measured moves

Companies Most Affected

GLD
GLD
Gold
-1.3%
TLT
TLT
Treasuries
-0.0%
LMT
LMT
Defense
-3.0%
RTX
RTX
Defense
+0.3%
NOC
NOC
Defense
-3.4%
SPY
SPY
Broad market
+0.1%
Confidence

Measured 35 days after the event. Full window complete.

This tool informs your decision. It does not give investment advice.